Roll and Keep Probability Calculator

Roll and Keep Probability Calculator

Postby Kitsune Takeo on Thu Apr 06, 2017 2:48 pm

For those of you unfamiliar, here's a link to my favorite probability calculator.

http://lynks.se/probability/
Fox Clan * Bushi * The Fox Prince * Honorable * Hero of the People * Uncompromising * Idealistic

Status: 3.0 ; Glory 1.0 ; Honor: Exceptional ; Courtship Points: 5

Carries: Daisho, yumi, light armor
Accompanied by: a red fox named Asahi

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Kitsune Takeo
 
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Re: Roll and Keep Probability Calculator

Postby Kitsu Takashi on Thu Apr 06, 2017 4:57 pm

I strongly endorse its use, although one should be warned: Orokos cares little for what lynks says...
Lion Clan * Bushi/Courtier * Sensational * The jolliest Kitsu
Status: 1.0 | Glory: 1.0 | Honor: As expected | Courtship points: 4
Always carries: Daisho, unremarkable clothing, and some writing supplies (calligraphy set if planning ahead, but always a bit of charcoal and parchment).
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Kitsu Takashi
 
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Re: Roll and Keep Probability Calculator

Postby Shinjo Liu Yue on Thu Apr 06, 2017 4:57 pm

There will eventually be a thread complaining about Orokos. Mark my words.
Unicorn - Bushi - Horrible Burns - Missing Left Arm - Damaged Eye - Rather Tall - Unfamiliar (Gaijin) Name - Dauntless
Status 1.0 - Glory 2.0 / Infamy 0.2 - Honour: Untrustworthy - Courtship: 5
Languages: Mekhem, Yobanjin

Typically Carries: Sturdy Clothing, Daisho, Fan, Small Hand Mirror, Finger of Jade, Coin Purse, Small Knife, Medicine Kit, Sake Cup

Riding Horse: Hikazume, Puppy: Gon
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Shinjo Liu Yue
 
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Re: Roll and Keep Probability Calculator

Postby Kakita Nanami on Thu Apr 06, 2017 4:58 pm

The Gods of RNG are fickle creatures and Orokos even more so! Do remember to offer your blood sacrifice before rolling on Orokos for these probabilities to apply most accurately.
Crane Clan • Agasha Trained • Shugenja • Small • Description
Status: 1.0 | Glory: 1.0 | Honor: What is Expected | Courtship Points: 2
Carried: Wakizashi, Tanto, Straw Hat, Cricket in a Cage
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Kakita Nanami
 
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Re: Roll and Keep Probability Calculator

Postby Soshi Taira on Thu Apr 06, 2017 6:37 pm

Oh this is a wonderful tool that will have no relation to what happens to you.
Scorpion Clan :: Good Cop :: Doctor :: Paragon :: Pragmatic :: Spirit-Touched :: Cursed
Honor: Untrustworthy Status: 1.0 Glory: 3.0 CP: 2
Carries: Daisho, medical satchel, black and red kimono, tall collar 'mask', ink-splotched fan
Now treating: Patient No.18

Description:: Theme:: Struggle
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Soshi Taira
 
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Re: Roll and Keep Probability Calculator

Postby Kitsune Takeo on Thu Apr 06, 2017 6:42 pm

Soshi Taira wrote:Oh this is a wonderful tool that will have no relation to what happens to you.


Largely true, but I find it oddly comforting that I haven't overreached when I fail rolls and that the universe had merely predetermined my mediocrity.
Fox Clan * Bushi * The Fox Prince * Honorable * Hero of the People * Uncompromising * Idealistic

Status: 3.0 ; Glory 1.0 ; Honor: Exceptional ; Courtship Points: 5

Carries: Daisho, yumi, light armor
Accompanied by: a red fox named Asahi

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Kitsune Takeo
 
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Re: Roll and Keep Probability Calculator

Postby Soshi Taira on Thu Apr 06, 2017 6:53 pm

I tend to do spectacular on poor odds and inconsequential rolls... anything not very helpful will go astoundingly well for me.

Single rolls which can ruin me, will.

It's gotten so that I can plan around it. :lol:
Scorpion Clan :: Good Cop :: Doctor :: Paragon :: Pragmatic :: Spirit-Touched :: Cursed
Honor: Untrustworthy Status: 1.0 Glory: 3.0 CP: 2
Carries: Daisho, medical satchel, black and red kimono, tall collar 'mask', ink-splotched fan
Now treating: Patient No.18

Description:: Theme:: Struggle
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Soshi Taira
 
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Re: Roll and Keep Probability Calculator

Postby Kakita Nanami on Thu Apr 06, 2017 7:12 pm

Soshi Taira wrote:I tend to do spectacular on poor odds and inconsequential rolls... anything not very helpful will go astoundingly well for me.

Single rolls which can ruin me, will.

It's gotten so that I can plan around it. :lol:


Trying to roll 2k2 against 10 and thinking you'll barely make it? 51!
Trying to roll 10k8 against 30 so you call 2 raises and you know it's easy? 12.

Whomp whomp.
Crane Clan • Agasha Trained • Shugenja • Small • Description
Status: 1.0 | Glory: 1.0 | Honor: What is Expected | Courtship Points: 2
Carried: Wakizashi, Tanto, Straw Hat, Cricket in a Cage
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Kakita Nanami
 
Posts: 277
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Re: Roll and Keep Probability Calculator

Postby Soshi Taira on Thu Apr 06, 2017 7:18 pm

Heck, I can do a 10k8 vs 30 and get a 94 on some random tea ceremony or something.

Or an attack... or what have you. But wrestling with my best skill with 3 rolls all over an 80% odds of success? Guaranteed failure. Again, Orokos hates pride, and will target you where you most desire success. If you don't care, Orokos doesn't either.

It's watching. It knows.
Scorpion Clan :: Good Cop :: Doctor :: Paragon :: Pragmatic :: Spirit-Touched :: Cursed
Honor: Untrustworthy Status: 1.0 Glory: 3.0 CP: 2
Carries: Daisho, medical satchel, black and red kimono, tall collar 'mask', ink-splotched fan
Now treating: Patient No.18

Description:: Theme:: Struggle
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Soshi Taira
 
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Joined: Fri Mar 31, 2017 9:26 pm


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